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The Wall Street Journal readers’ “election”

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The results of the most recent shuffle in China’s leadership “will be revealed when the new members of the Standing Committee walk out on stage in the Great Hall of the People at the end of the in-process 18th Party Congress, possibly as early as today.”
The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) put up the website China Real Time (blogs.wsj.com/chinarealtime) to ask readers to “vote” on their favorite leaders because “the process of choosing the Standing Committee members unfolds under a cloud of extreme secrecy, and involves intense political horse trading that can continue right down to the wire.”
For that reason, The Wall Street Journal doesn’t produce a list of likely committee members. Still, states the WSJ, “we fully recognize there’s a certain level of fun to be had in Politburo prognostication, and in that spirit we’ve decided to create a compilation of the line-ups proffered by other news organizations — a list of lists, if you will — so readers can keep score on the big day.”
According to the WSJ, “most analysts expect the Standing Committee will be reduced from nine to seven members. Two men, both current committee members, are considered locks to return: Vice President Xi Jinping, expected to take over for Hu Jintao as head of the party, and Vice Premier Li Keqiang, who is expected to take over for Wen Jiabao as premier. Others unanimously predicted to make it are Chongqing party chief Zhang Dejiang and Vice Premier Wang Qishan.”
The remaining candidates include “three men considered conservative — Tianjin Party chief Zhang Gaoli, Shanghai Party chief Yu Zhengsheng and Propaganda Department head Liu Yunshan — and two seen as possible reformers in Guangdong party chief Wang Yang and Organization Department head Li Yuanchao.”
The lists are from the New York Times, the Economist, Reuters, South China Morning Post, Financial Times and overseas Chinese-language news site Duowei. The New York Times, Economist and South China Morning Post lists are identical, so we’ve grouped them together. Likewise, Duowei and Reuters also produced identical lists and are thus grouped together.

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